The African development Bank (AfDB) argues
that M-Pesa, Safari’s mobile payments service, could have
contributed to the increase of inflation in Kenya.

In a recent report addressing the inflation
dynamics in Kenya, the AfDB considers that the increase in money
velocity coincides with the rise in the number of M-Pesa
subscribers.

There are over 16m active users of M-Pesa
mobile money transfer service in Kenya with a cash flow of over
KES50m ($580,000) a day, the company reported last year.

Over $650m is deposited and withdrawn every
month which, calculated annually, is roughly equal to 10% of
Kenya`s GDP.

The value of M-Pesa transactions since 2007 to
March 2010 topped KES828bn (half of the country’s GDP).

The AfDB holds that M-Pesa’s transactions
velocity may be three to four times higher than the one of other
components of money.

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The AfDB also maintains that could have made
more complicated the monetary policy implementation.

“The monetary authorities may inadvertently
follow looser monetary policy if the stock of e-money grows more
rapidly than projected,” the AfDB argues.

However, Central Bank of Kenya governor,
Njuguna Ndung’u, told local media that M-Pesa only increases the
frequency with witch the same amount of cash is availed in the
market.

“M-Pesa cannot add to money supply growth, it
can only affect velocity and innovation. This is a mistake I have
seen and clarified internationally,” Ndung’u told Business Daily
Africa.

M-Pesa was launched five years ago by
Safaricom, the Kenyan subsidiary of Vodafone.

With 70% share of Kenya’s telecoms market, the
secret behind Safaricom’s success has much to do with M-Pesa
m-payment platform.